Graphs day 58, pandemic day 64, day 135 since the first cases were diagnosed.

Total cases diagnosed worldwide: 4,308,809

Current worldwide deaths: 296,680

By this point, we have probably already hit the sad milestone of 300,000 deaths, and it should be reflected in tomorrow’s data. The graph of global cases continues to stubbornly increase at the same rate as it has the last two months.

Today’s maps – Qatar has literally gone off the scale in cases:

…but it still very low in deaths:

In fact, Qatar is so weird that they are throwing off the scales of the graphs in both directions. So I’m removing them from the graphs for the moment, but I’ll continue to keep a close eye on them.

It’s an even-numbered day, so we’ll compare countries from the same point in their epidemics. We can, for example, compare the current situation in the U.S. to the situation in Italy at a similar point in the spread of the disease.

I picked the United States and Italy as the comparison for a reason – notice how for the first 40 days or so of their time with COVID-19, they trended together almost exactly. Over the past 30 days or so, the U.S. has blown past Italy. Imagine tracing the curves out – it seems almost inevitable that the U.S. will pass Belgium and then Spain.

For the graph of deaths, look at the U.K. and Italy.

Italy was ahead of the U.K. in death rate for the first 55 days or so, but the U.K. has now pulled ahead.

As always, you can get the data yourself from the European Centers for Disease Control’s Coronavirus Source Data; choose “all four metrics.” You are welcome to use my Excel template (version 3.2). I’d love to see what you can build with it!

Update tomorrow-ish, and every day-ish after that until this pandemic is over.