Daily COVID-19 data update XCV: Off the chart, maybe back on soon

Graphs day 95, pandemic day 102, day 172 since the first cases were diagnosed.

I’m looking in more detail at cases and deaths in the United States, and I’m working on a more detailed post with state-by-state data. That’s coming possibly tonight, probably Monday.

Total cases of COVID-19 diagnosed worldwide: 8,633,778

Total deaths: 462,676

Worldwide cases by day, shown as actual cases in blue and smoothed cases in red, showing the overall trend:

Cases of COVID-19 reported each day worldwide. The blue line is the actual reported number of cases; the red line is the smoothed number of cases (10-day moving average smoothing), showing the overall trend. Click for a larger version.

COVID-19 is still under control in the countries where it was under control two days ago, so we don’t need to look at those today. Instead let’s look at the case history of countries where the daily rates are at least headed in the right direction:

Countries where newly-reported cases per million people are steady or decreasing (click for a larger version)

One new feature of today’s graph is that I have added Qatar to the the main graph as well. You can see that on April 22, cases in Qatar went literally off the chart by passing 200 cases per million people per day. If cases in Qatar continue to decrease, then at some point they will fall below 200 per million per day again, and the red curve for Qatar will once again appear on the main graph. I look forward to that day, and so does everyone in Qatar.

Next, countries where epidemics continue to get worse, sadly still including the U.S.:

Countries where the epidemic is still getting worse (click for a larger version)

Chile has the same deal as Qatar – cases went off the main chart starting on May 24th. Someday cases will drop back down below 200 per million per day again – although as you can see from the inset graph, there’s no telling when that might be.

Want to try out some of these graphs for yourself? You can get the data that I used to make these graphs from the European Centers for Disease Control’s Coronavirus Source Data; choose “all four metrics.” You’re still welcome to use my Excel template – I added a section for making the deaths graph to what is now verison 4.1, so that is the only one you need.

Update tomorrow, and every day after that until this pandemic comes to an end.

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