Day eleven of me graphing data, day seveteen of the pandemic (as declared by the World Health Organization), day eighty-eight since the first cases were reported in Wuhan. Worldwide as of 4 AM ET this morning, nearly 600,000 people have been diagnosed with COVID-19, and more than 27,000 have died.

I am continuing to track the number of cases and deaths in China, the United States, Iran, Italy, Spain, France, Belgium, the United Kingdom, and Australia. As always, the graphs below show cases and deaths per million people in each country.

Cases per million people

The number of reported cases in Spain continues to grow at a frightening rate. By the time you read this, Spain’s per capita disease rate will almost certainly have passed Italy’s.

Spain’s curve is about a week later than Italy’s, so their per million deaths will almost certainly pass Italy’s as well. The growth of cases in the United States is beginning to to enter the scary part of the curve. Meanwhile in Australia…

…cases might have flattened out, but we won’t know for sure for a few days.

Deaths per million people

Sigh, I rescaled the graph yet again, the total death rate in Italy is now 152 deaths per million Italians (the green line in the graph below). The death rate is Spain is increasing quickly.

You can find the data from the European Centers for Disease Control’s Coronavirus Source Data site (download the CSV file from the “Full dataset” lin), and you are welcome to use my Microsoft Excel template. I’m working on some new graphs for future updates, you should too!

Update tomorrow, and every day until this pandemic is over.