Daily COVID-19 data update LXXIX

Graphs day 79, pandemic day 85, day 156 since the first cases were diagnosed.

If you didn’t see my special guest post on the 31st anniversary of the Tiananmen Square Massacre, take a look now.

Total cases of COVID-19 diagnosed worldwide: 6,475,644

Total deaths: 386,544

Today is the day I predicted that we would reach 400,000 deaths worldwide – and we are at only 386,544. I am very happy to be wrong – 13,456 times happy, to be exact. Here are the current worldwide cases and deaths (dots) and the track of my predictions of May 16th (black lines).

I’m not sure I can explain why the number of deaths is running behind my prediction even as the number of cases far exceeds my prediction, but I’ll take it.

Just the usual maps of Europe and South America today, but we’ll check back in with the whole world soon. And it’s an odd-numbered day, so we’ll look at the rate of cases and deaths by day from mid-February to day.

Cases per million people by country

Cases per million people – first the rate today displayed on a map:

Chile has further increased its lead over the other countries we track:

Yesterday we noted that cases in Peru had flattened, and I suspected that it was just a delay in reporting. Called it – cases in Peru are way up today.

Deaths per million people by country

Now that we’re not regularly tracking Belgium and its unusually high number of deaths, the graphs were starting to look lonely. So I rescaled both map and graph to have a maximum of 600 deaths per million people.

First the map:

and now the graph:

Sadly, it looks like we’ll need to rescale again tomorrow, as the U.K. nears 600 deaths per million people.

Want to rescale the graphs yourself? Want to make totally new graphs? I’d love to see what you can do to visualize the data! You can get the data that I used to make these graphs from the European Centers for Disease Control’s Coronavirus Source Data; choose “all four metrics.” You are welcome to use my Excel template (version 3.3). I’d love to see what you can build with it, and I’m happy to help you figure it out!

Update tomorrow, and every day after that until this pandemic comes to an end.

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