How screwed is Florida? (Daily COVID-19 data update CXVIII)

Graphs day 118, pandemic day 125, day 195 since the first cases were diagnosed. Today Florida is in the spotlight!

Total cases of COVID-19 diagnosed worldwide: 12,910,357

Total deaths: 569,128

Yesterday I asked a simple question: if Florida were a country, how screwed would it be? Or: how do cases in Florida – just Florida, separate from the rest of the U.S. – compare to cases in the countries we’ve been following?

This has been an adventure, I basically had to start over with my spreadsheet to make this work. Fortunately, I am very very stubborn.

Usual graph style, Florida is in green. Blue is no longer the entire U.S., it’s now the U.S. minus Florida. (I should really make a page that explains the graphs for people starting the blog from this post.)

Countries where COVID-19 was quickly contained

History of the COVID-19 pandemic in various countries, and also Florida (click for a larger version)

To answer the question raised above: quite screwed. Look how fast the pandemic in Florida Looney Tuned off the main scale onto the Qatar graph. Florida is now leading all the countries on this graph in terms of cases per million people.

The good news is that the case fatality rate in Florida is lower, at just 1.6 percent. But that’s mostly illusory good news – so many new cases have been transmitted in the past two weeks that many people who will die haven’t reached the point of dying yet. Expect the CFR to climb to close to its value in the rest of the US.

Reminder: I’ll be camping in Shenandoah National Park the rest of this week, so no more COVID-19 updates until Saturday. But you’ll still see non-COVID posts on Wednesday and Friday this week.

Also, the Wang Mansion is still for sale!

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