Graphs day 124, pandemic day 131, day 201 since the first cases were diagnosed. Unfortunately, today is the day we’ve been waiting for. Earlier I had predicted that Earth would reach 600,000 deaths due to COVID-19 on July 23rd. Four days early, that number has arrived.

Total cases of COVID-19 diagnosed worldwide: 14,288,357

Total deaths: 602,138

In last Monday’s post, I compared cases in Florida to cases in countries around the world. The state of the pandemic in Florida then looked far worse than in most other countries. How does it look now, six days later?

Unfortunately, even worse. Florida is shown by the green line in the graph below.

The smoothed per capita rate of new cases in Florida today is 525 per million people, far higher than any of the countries we have been tracking and similar to the rate at the worst of the epidemic in Chile.

Longer update tomorrow as part of the usual Monday-Wednesday-Friday schedule, and updates (almost) every day until this terrible pandemic is over.